Coming within 30 points of Florida has been impossible for UK the last four seasons.
GAINESVILLE, Fla. (WDRB) – The closest the University of Kentucky has come to beating the Florida Gators the last four seasons is 34 points.
Five years ago the score was Florida 45, UK 37.
Since then, the Wildcats have been outscored by 41 points per game – two games with Rich Brooks in charge, two with Joker Phillips.
After scoring 37 points in 2007, the Wildcats have combined for 36 points in their last four games against the Gators. And Florida's defense has not been in Steel Curtain mode the last two seasons.
So anything less than five touchdowns here Saturday will be progress for Kentucky.
Can Kentucky come within five touchdowns?
Phil Steele believes they can. He picked Florida to win by 31. Vegas has the line at 24 points. I've got the Gators by 32, while Eric Crawford says only 24. AccuScore.com puts Florida's win probability at 88.9 percent.
Louisville is visiting Miami to play Florida International.
Yes, FIU beat the Cards in Louisville last season, but this FIU team doesn't seem capable of winning the Sun Belt Conference. I'll be shocked if Louisville doesn't hang major offensive numbers on a defense that ranks 108 (out of 124 FBS teams) in point allowed per game – after playing Duke, Akron and UCF.
Make a note: All three of those teams popped the Golden Panthers for at least 33 points. The bar is low.
Although Louisville is favored by 13 ½, Phil Steele only likes the Cards by six. AccuScore.com puts Louisville's win percentage at 71.8 percent. I've got the Cards by 16, while Eric says 20.
Western Kentucky returns home to play Southern Miss. This is an important game for the Hilltoppers. The crowd should be large, engaged and planning to have fun. Media folks will be checking the score to see if WKU can build on the win over Kentucky. Southern Miss is usually solid on defense.
The Toppers are favored by 3 ½, but Phil Steele likes the Hilltoppers by only a point. AccuScore.com leans toward the Golden Eagles with a 54 percent win probability. I've got WKU by five, while Eric says only four.