BOZICH | First look at tricky tests for Louisville, Kentucky - WDRB 41 Louisville News

BOZICH | First look at tricky tests for Louisville, Kentucky

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Louisville visits Boston College Saturday -- and the Eagles have one of the best rushing defenses in the nation. Louisville visits Boston College Saturday -- and the Eagles have one of the best rushing defenses in the nation.

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (WDRB) – One more home game for Louisville and Kentucky. That's how far we have pushed into this college football season.

The last First Look is not far away now that the college football season has moved into November – and Louisville (6-3) is the only local team that has secured bowl eligibility.

On to the games:

Louisville at Boston, College, 7:15 p.m., ESPN2: I'm not a fan of the phrase, “trap game,” but if it has to be used, this week qualifies for the Cardinals.

The BC trip follows U of L's 21-point give-back against Florida State but sits in front of the program's first trip to Notre Dame. Bobby Petrino's task will be to ensure that his players stop thinking about a few plays they didn't make against the Seminoles without starting to think about their trip to the Golden Dome.

BC isn't bad. The Eagles have the same 6-3 record that the Cardinals have, including a victory over Southern California. The winner of this game is likely to finish third in the ACC Atlantic Division.

BC has delivered back-to-back road wins against Wake Forest and Virginia Tech, and nobody has beaten BC by more than 10. The Eagles rank 10th nationally in rushing, averaging nearly 275 yards per game. They are also fourth, one spot behind Louisville, in stopping the run. They're not Florida State, but they're legit.

Beware.

THE LINE: Cards are favored, but only by 3 points. Jeff Sagarin's Predictor rating likes the Cards by 3.86.

Georgia at Kentucky, Noon, SEC Network: Tough one to call. Georgia looked like the best team in the SEC East and then the Bulldogs embarrassed themselves with a junior-varsity performance in an 18-point loss to Florida and Will Muschamp.

Bye-bye five-game Georgia winning streak. Cue the annual talk about the Bulldogs underachieving -- and the annual grumbling about coach Mark Richt.

This is Senior Day for the Wildcats. The offense needs to find a stronger second-season gear. Kentucky has scored only 44 points in its last three SEC games and 31 came against Mississippi State, the only home game in that trio. UK's top rusher, Jojo Kemp, is not on track to finish with 500 yards. Offensive coordinator Neal Brown has work to do.

It will be one of the earliest Senior Days I can remember, but Kentucky usually plays well against Georgia, at least better than the Wildcats have played against Tennessee, the final SEC opponent on the schedule.

THE LINE: Bulldogs by 11, although the line opened at 13. The Sagarin line is Bulldogs by 12.96.

Penn State at Indiana, Noon, Big Ten Network: The Hoosiers have not been competitive in their four Big Ten losses and remain the only team in the league without a victory.

IU needs to beat Penn State, Rutgers and Purdue for bowl eligibility and that isn't going to happen.

Without quarterback Nate Sudfeld, IU's next victory might not come until next September. Opposing defenses don't perceive Sudfeld's replacement, freshman Xander Diamont, as a passing threat – with reason. In two games, Diamont has completed 10 of 23 passes for 35 yards.

Won't work – even if you have the most productive halfback in the nation.

THE LINE: The Nittany Lions opened as a 3 ½ point favorite, but the number quickly jumped to 5. The Sagarin numbers say Penn State by 6.79.

UTEP at Western Kentucky, 4 p.m.: The Hilltoppers' only path to a .500 season is to win their next three games because the season ends at Marshall, and WKU will be a king-sized underdog against the 8-0 Thundering Herd. UTEP (5-3), Army (2-6) and Texas San Antonio (2-6) are all beatable with better tackling than WKU has shown all fall.

But the Miners have scored at least 34 points in their last three games, and you know what that means for this WKU team. Trouble.

THE LINE: Western Kentucky is favored by 7 1/2, after opening as a 9-point favorite. The Sagarin numbers tilt to Western, but only by 0.36 points.

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