BOZICH | Three reasons Kentucky can beat Georgia Saturday - WDRB 41 Louisville News

BOZICH | Three reasons Kentucky can beat Georgia Saturday

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Mark Stoops (left) needs one more win to make Kentucky bowl eligible, and the Wildcats get that win Saturday against Mark Richt and Georgia. Mark Stoops (left) needs one more win to make Kentucky bowl eligible, and the Wildcats get that win Saturday against Mark Richt and Georgia.
LOUISVILLE, Ky. (WDRB) – Beating Florida is mission impossible for the University of Kentucky football team. We've talked about that since Steve Spurrier was in diapers. Considering the way the Wildcats lost in Gainesville in September, an exorcism might be necessary to change the direction of that series.

The Tennessee series has been equally puzzling. The Vols aren't the kind of overpowering program that should be able to beat anybody 28 times in 29 games. But it's happened. We can discuss that more next week.

But for Kentucky, Georgia is different.

Georgia is a program that Kentucky can beat. 

Reason 1 -- There is video evidence.

Doesn't matter how many 5-star guys the Bulldogs have collected – and they've collected a bunch. Doesn't matter where the Bulldogs sit in the rankings. Kentucky can rock and roll with Georgia, especially in Lexington.

Not only have the Wildcats beaten the Bulldogs twice in the last eight meetings, and seven of the last 10 games played in Commonwealth Stadium have been decided by seven points or less.

In 2009, Kentucky was a 9-point underdog, but the Wildcats beat a Georgia that defeated Auburn, South Carolina and Arkansas that season. In 2006, Kentucky was a 7-point underdog and handled Auburn, South Carolina and Ole Miss.

Consider all that the first reason Kentucky can win Saturday at Commonwealth Stadium, even though UK is a 10-point underdog. Bizarre things don't happen to the Wildcats in this series. Here are two more reasons the Wildcats can win.

Reason 2 -- Doubt is percolating around this Georgia team. A week ago people were speculating that the Bulldogs could still sneak into the four-team playoff if they won their final five regular-season games as well as the SEC championship game. The only stain on their record was a three-point loss at South Carolina.

Then Florida happened.

Favored by 11 ½, the Bulldogs lost by 18. They're not going to the four-team playoff. They need Missouri to lose to make it to the SEC title game.

The Bulldogs are surrounded by the annual chirping about how Georgia leads the league in underachievement. A headline in the Athens paper says that “good isn't great enough,” at Georgia.

Why do people say that?

This is where Rivals.com has ranked the last four classes that Georgia coach Mark Richt has recruited:

2010 (15th); 2011 (5th); 2012 (12th); 2013 (12th) and 2014 (7th).

Five straight top 15 classes should translate to better than second place in the SEC East.

Reason 3 -- Georgia can't pass the ball.

No Matthew Stafford. No Aaron Murray. No Fran Tarkenton.

Georgia has legitimate issues throwing the football. Never mind the 300-yard barrier. The Bulldogs have passed for more than 200 yards twice this season. They're thrown 12 touchdown passes in eight games. Only Vanderbilt and Florida have been less fearsome throwing the ball.

Yes, Georgia has a dynamic running game, even without Todd Gurley, who will miss the final game of his four-game suspension Saturday.  But load the box and make Georgia quarterback Hutson Mason beat you.

If Mason delivers, tip your helmet. If he fails, game on. It's worth the risk.

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