BOZICH | 10 Reasons to pick Louisville (or pick Kentucky) Saturd - WDRB 41 Louisville News

BOZICH | 10 Reasons to pick Louisville (or pick Kentucky) Saturday

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Bobby Petrino (left) and Mark Stoops met last season when Petrino coached Western Kentucky. Bobby Petrino (left) and Mark Stoops met last season when Petrino coached Western Kentucky.
LOUISVILLE, Ky. (WDRB) -- I used to have an entire summer to uncover items to fuss about before the Kentucky-Louisville football game. Now there is only one week.

No time to waste. Let's start the snap-count with 10 Reasons to Pick Louisville (or pick Kentucky) Saturday.

1. Common Opponents: There are none.

But if you insist upon trash talking, I can still make this work. Try this, starting with Kentucky.

The Wildcats beat South Carolina, which beat Georgia, which beat Clemson, which beat Louisville.

Overall, that makes Kentucky a 40-point favorite.

Not so fast. In fact, not at all.

The Cards beat Notre Dame, which beat Michigan, which beat Indiana, which beat Missouri, which beat Kentucky.

Make it Louisville by 72.

2. One more ovation for Jeff Sagarin. Some snickered when his computer predictor ratings continued to show that Louisville was rated ahead of Kentucky by double figures. That was back when the Wildcats were 5-1 and some were howling that Kentucky would be favored at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium.

Sagarin's formula did not agree. Still doesn't. His latest batch of numbers has the Cards favored by 13.65 Saturday.

The line at VegasInsiders.com opened at 14 – and it remained 14 late Monday morning.

Nice work, Jeff.

3. Trend line: Louisville has won the last three games in this series -- 27-13, 32-14, 24-17.

Average score: Louisville 27.7, Kentucky 14.7.

4. Bobby Petrino's record vs. Kentucky at Louisville.

He is 4-0, starting with the 2003 season, winning 40-24, 28-0, 31-24, 59-28.

Average score: U of L 39.5, UK 19.

5. Petrino overall vs. Kentucky is 5-1.

He lost to the Wildcats, 21-20, in 2008 while coaching at Arkansas.

He beat Kentucky, 35-26, at WKU last season. That was his only game against UK coach Mark Stoops. His four other victories came against Rich Brooks.

6. Best win for each team this season:

Louisville 31 Notre Dame 28 last Saturday in South Bend, Ind.

Kentucky 45, South Carolina 38 at Commonwealth Stadium.

7. Worst loss for each team this season:

Virginia 23, Louisville 21. The Cavaliers are 5-6 and need to win at Virginia Tech Saturday to become bowl eligible.

Tennessee 50, Kentucky 14. The Vols are 5-6 and need to beat Vanderbilt Saturday to become bowl eligible.

8. Louisville's record at home is 4-1. The loss was to Florida State.

Kentucky's record on the road is 0-4, although they took Florida into triple overtime in Gainesville.

9. Record vs. teams currently ranked in the AP Top 25.

Louisville 0-2 – losing to Florida State and Clemson, by a combined 17 points.

Kentucky 0-3 – losing to Mississippi State, Georgia, Missouri by a combined 55 points.

10. Victories against FBS teams with winning records:

Louisville – four, Miami (6-5), North Carolina State (6-5), Boston College (6-5), Notre Dame (7-4).

Kentucky – one, South Carolina (6-5).

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