BOZICH | The NCAA Sweet Sixteen by the numbers -- including a 1- - WDRB 41 Louisville News

BOZICH | The NCAA Sweet Sixteen by the numbers -- including a 1-to-16 ranking

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LOUISVILLE, Ky. (WDRB) – The Atlantic Coast Conference has five of the remaining 16 teams in the NCAA Tournament, but not the team that won the league's regular-season title (sorry, Virginia).

You can still hear the squeaky sounds of 10 schools that attack in Nike sneakers, four in adidas and two in Under Armour.

Five schools that won their league's regular-season conference title – and two that finished sixth.

One unbeaten team trying to make history – and six teams that have already lost at least 10 games.

Three one seeds. A pair of two seeds. Two seven seeds.

I could go on. But without a ballot to file in the Associated Press Top 25 this week, I decided to rank the teams that are still dribbling in the Sweet Sixteen of the NCAA Tournament.

1. Kentucky (36-0) – You're going to hear all the chatter about the 1-3-1 zone that Bob Huggins dragged out to enable West Virginia to upset Kentucky five years ago.

Doesn't matter. This Kentucky team should be able to make three-point shots. This West Virginia team doesn't have Da'Sean Butler, Kevin Jones or Joe Mazzulla. Ken Pomeroy puts UK's chances of being upset at only 11 percent in Cleveland Thursday night.

League Play: Won SEC regular-season and conference title.

NCAA winning margin: 18 ppg.

Last 10: 10-0.

Shoe brand: Nike

Last Final Four: 2014.

Ken Pom Offensive efficiency: 6th

Ken Pom Defensive efficiency: 1st.

Chance of winning tournament at Nate Silver's 538 website: 41 percent.

2. Arizona (33-3) – Beware the Wildcats. Sean Miller's team has won 13 straight, 11 by double figures. Arizona is also one of four dual qualifiers – teams that rank in the Top 20 in Ken Pomeroy's offensive and defensive efficiency ratings. The others are UK, Utah and Wichita State.

League play: Won Pac-12 regular-season and tournament titles.

NCAA winning margin: 18 ppg.

Last 10: 10-0.

Shoe brand: Nike.

Last Final Four: 2001

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 7th.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 3rd.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 15 percent.

3. Duke (31-4) – The Blue Devils look spectacular when they're running up and down the court for dunks, but their defensive numbers are definitely a notch below the top two.

League Play: Finished second in the ACC; lost ACC Tournament semifinals.

NCAA winning margin: 24 ppg.

Last 10: 9-1.

Shoe brand: Nike.

Last Final Four: 2010.

Ken Pom Offensive efficiency: 2nd.

Ken Pom Defensive efficiency: 44th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 12 percent.

4. Wisconsin (32-3) – The Badgers are a dazzling offensive unit, but, believe it or not. Bo Ryan's team is only the ninth best defensive team still playing. And nobody has a tougher regional path than Wisconsin, which gets North Carolina and then Arizona.

League play: Won Big Ten regular-season and tournament titles.

NCAA winning margin: 10.5 ppg.

Last 10: 9-1.

Shoe brand: adidas.

Last Final Four 2014.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 1st

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 39th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 8 percent.

5. Gonzaga (34-2) – The Zags looked overpowering against Iowa. They could get to the Final Four by taking down Duke in the South Regional, especially with a semifinal gimme against UCLA. But a national title?

League play: Won West Coast Conference regular season and tournament titles.

NCAA winning margin: 14.5 ppg.

Last 10: 9-1.

Shoe brand: Nike.

Last Final Four: Never.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 4th

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 35th

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 3 percent.

6. Michigan State (25-11) – Beware the Spartans. They started getting healthy late in the Big Ten season. Tom Izzo's team probably doesn't have enough offensive (or defensive) consistency to win four more games, but the East Regional has opened wide with Villanova and Virginia gone.

League play: Finished third Big Ten regular season; lost finals of Big Ten Tournament.

NCAA winning margin: 6.5.

Last 10: 7-3.

Shoe brand: Nike.

Last Final Four: 2010.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 14th.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 45th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 4 percent.

7. Notre Dame (31-5) – The Irish has survived two close calls and now they're facing one of the most tough-minded teams in the field – Wichita State. Can't wait to watch that one.

League play: Finished third in ACC regular-season; won ACC Tournament.

NCAA winning margin: 3.5 ppg.

Last 10: 9-1.

Shoe brand: Under Armour.

Last Final Four: 1978.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 3rd.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 103rd.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 2 percent.

8. Oklahoma (24-10) – Most people will identify the Sooners as the favorite to win the East Regional at the Carrier Dome, but there is a reason Oklahoma lost 10 games: the offense comes and goes.

League play: Finished second in Big 12 regular-season and lost semifinals Big 12 Tournament.

NCAA winning margin: 7.5 ppg.

Last 10: 7-3.

Shoe brand: Nike.

Last Final Four: 2002.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 46th.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 6th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 3 percent.

9. Wichita State (30-4) – The Shockers know how to win. Ask Indiana. Ask Kansas. Ask anybody who has played Wichita State for the last five years.

League play: Won Missouri Valley Conference regular-season title and lost semifinals MVC Tournament.

NCAA winning margin: 9 ppg.

Last 10: 9-1.

Shoe brand: Nike.

Last Final Four: 2013.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 18th.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 13th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 2 percent.

10. North Carolina (26-11) – The Tar Heels are the toughest team to predict on the board – and they have been all season. Ask Roy Williams. So many injuries. So much inconsistency. So much size and ability.

League play: Finished fifth in ACC regular season; lost ACC Tournament championship game.

NCAA winning margin: 5.5 ppg.

Last 10: 7-3.

Shoe brand: Nike.

Last Final Four 2009.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 12th.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 50th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 1 percent.

11. Louisville (26-8) – The Cards are the least efficient offensive team still playing – and they're 28 spots behind Oklahoma, the next closest group. Two major upsets in the East Regional give Rick Pitino an opening, however.

League play: Finished fourth in ACC regular season; lost quarterfinals ACC Tournament.

NCAA winning margin: 7.5 ppg.

Shoe brand: adidas.

Last Final Four 2013.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 74th.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 5th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 2 percent.

12. Utah (26-8) – The Utes are a dual qualifier but they also entered the NCAA tournament with four losses in their last previous seven games.

League play: Finished second in the Pac-12 regular season; lost semifinals Pac-12 Tournament.

NCAA winning margin: 9 ppg.

Last 10: 6-4.

Shoe brand: Under Armour.

Last Final Four 1998.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 16th.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 7th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: 2 percent.

13. West Virginia (25-9)— I'm not sure if John Calipari is a friend of Baylor coach Scott Drew, but if so, Calipari should give Drew a call. The Bears beat West Virginia three times.

League play: Finished tied for 4th in Big 12 and lost first game in Big 12 Tournament.

NCAA winning margin: 8 ppg.

Last 10: 6-4.

Shoe brand: Nike

Last Final Four: 2010.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 38th.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 36th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: Less than 1 percent.

14. North Carolina State (22-13) – I know the Wolfpack beat Louisville at the KFC Yum! Center in February. I also know better than to pick against Rick Pitino when he has four days to prepare.

League play: Finished sixth ACC regular season; lost quarterfinals ACC Tournament.

NCAA winning margin: 2 ppg.

Last 10: 8-2.

Shoe brand: adidas.

Last Final Four 1983.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 27th.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 85th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: Less than 1 percent.

15. Xavier (23-13) – Congrats to former Eastern High School star Remy Abell, who will get a crack at Arizona Thursday in Los Angeles.

League play: Finished sixth in the Big East; Lost Big East Tournament final.

NCAA winning margin: 13.5 ppg.

Last 10: 7-3.

Shoe brand: Nike.

Last Final Four: Never.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 21st.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 58th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: Less than 1 percent.

16. UCLA (22-13) – Not even four or five more bogus goal-tending calls can get the Bruins past Gonzaga and Duke and through the South Regional.

League play: Finished fourth Pac-12 regular season; lost semifinals Pac-12 Tournament.

NCAA winning margin: 9 ppg.

Last 10: 7-3.

Shoe brand: adidas,.

Last Final Four: 2008.

Ken Pom offensive efficiency: 34th.

Ken Pom defensive efficiency: 68th.

Chance of winning tournament by Nate Silver: Less than 1 percent.

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