BOZICH | Ranking the Kentucky Derby contenders from 19-to-1; The - WDRB 41 Louisville News

BOZICH | Ranking the Kentucky Derby contenders from 19-to-1; The winner is ...

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Dortmond is one of two talented Kentucky Derby horses in Bob Baffert's barn (Associated Press photo). Dortmond is one of two talented Kentucky Derby horses in Bob Baffert's barn (Associated Press photo).
LOUISVILLE, Ky. (WDRB) – Handicapping Kentucky Derby 141 in 2:01 2/5. (With updated 4:30 p.m. odds from Churchill Downs and the scratch of El Kabeir.)

19. Ocho Ocho Ocho (28-to-1) – Why Why Why? Voted Least Likely to Look Like a Derby Horse on the backstretch this week. No No No.

18. Keen Ice (28-1) – If you like colts that have lost their last three races by nearly 20 lengths, this is a perfect spot to unbuckle.

17. War Story (43-1) – Couldn't beat Stanford (or International Star) in the Louisiana Derby – and Stanford was an NIT team.

16. Frammento (99-1) – Nick Zito is one of my favorite trainers, so that's all I'm going to say about this colt. The betting people has already said enough.

15. Mr. Z (26-1) – I checked to determine if any Derby winner ever scored after losing his last 11 prep races. LOL.

14. Bolo (46-1) – When a group of reporters approached trainer Carla Gaines this week, she laughed, retreated and said, "Why do you want to talk to me? We'll be 100-to-1." Bet with confidence.

13. Far Right (42-1) – Even Rush Limbaugh wants no part of this horse.

12. Tencendur (66-1) – His fans say he led in the stretch of the Wood Memorial by a half-length. His critics say he faded and was beaten by two lengths, his third straight loss since February. I'm going with the critics.

11. Danzig Moon (19-1) – Eight horses in this field have delivered at least one 100 Beyer Speed figure during their racing careers. Danzig Moon isn't one of them.

10. Itsaknockout (34-1) – Floyd Mayweather would have to knock out the other 18 jockeys for this colt to win.

9. International Star (18-1) – We've moved into the world of mostly serious runners because this colt ruled the Fairgrounds this winter and spring. I listened for the hype. I didn't hear much this week.

8. Mubtaahij (19-1) – I can't pronounce his name or convince you why he'll perform better than Worldly Manner, China Visit or other pretenders from Dubai.

7. Upstart (33-1) – WARNING: This is Dan Dakich's Kentucky Derby pick. You're on your own.

6. Firing Line (10-1) – Even people in grocery stores have been telling me that if you like Dortmund you have to like Firing Line – at a much friendlier price.

5. Materiality (17-1) – Very talented. Very inexperienced. But Mike Krzyzewski and John Calipari will tell you they'll take talent over experience every time. But I haven't asked them for their Derby picks.

4. Carpe Diem (8-1). The winner has not come from the No. 2 post since Affirmed in 1978. Todd Pletcher's horse is talented. But he's not Affirmed.

3. Frosted (15-1) – I know that the sharpest handicappers have no time for sentiment in their selections. I also know that a Derby victory for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin would be a delightful story. It's more than sentiment. He won the Wood Memorial.

2. American Pharoah (5-2) – This Kentucky Derby is produced and directed by trainer Bob Baffert. And when this horse wins the Triple Crown I'll have to delete this story.

1. Dortmund (9-2) – I'm not sure why some people are knocking an unbeaten winner of the Santa Anita Derby with improving speed figures and tactical speed. But I'll take my chances with Baffert's other horse.

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