BOZICH | Monday Muse: Anybody picking UK? Is Brohm a hot name? - WDRB 41 Louisville News

  • What is your pick in the Governor's Cup Saturday?

  • Thank you for participating in our poll. Here are the results so far:

    Louisville by 7 or more
    49%
    376 votes
    Louisville by less than 7
    27%
    208 votes
    Kentucky by 4 or more
    13%
    102 votes
    Kentucky by less than 4
    11%
    87 votes

BOZICH | Monday Muse: Anybody picking UK? Is Brohm a hot name?

Posted: Updated:
Rick Bozich is sticking with his pick of UK over U of L Saturday. Rick Bozich is sticking with his pick of UK over U of L Saturday.

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (WDRB) – There is one way to begin this week’s edition of the Monday Muse, and that’s by listing all the information that screams I am wrong, wrong, wrong with a prediction that Kentucky will defeat Louisville in the Governor’s Cup Saturday.

No reason to delay.

1. LOUISVILLE vs. KENTUCKY

Las Vegas says Louisville by four.

Jeff Sagarin’s Predictor computer formula says Louisville by eight.

ESPN’s college football power index likes Louisville at Commonwealth Stadium, placing the Cards’ win probability at 60.6 percent.

The web site MasseyRatings.com, compiles dozens of human and computer rankings from across the Internet. Louisville has a composite ranking of 49th nationally this week.

That’s 31 spots ahead of Kentucky, which trails Virginia and North Carolina State (teams U of L has defeated) in its composite numbers.

Is anybody out there picking Mark Stoops’ team to win?

Other than me?

I went on record with the Wildcats in July. A quarterback change, five consecutive defeats, a flirtation with a really awful loss to Eastern Kentucky and a thousand other things have me questioning my sanity.

But I’ll stick with the Wildcats – by three.

Louisville has its issues at quarterback, too. Kentucky is at home. The Wildcats have more to play for with a bowl trip on the line. They know they can play with U of L because they did it last season. Kentucky can run the football. Neither program has won five straight in this series since it resumed in 1994.

That’s not much. But it’s good enough for me.

2. LOUISVILLE FAN CLUB

I bumped Louisville into the 24th spot on my AP college basketball ballot Monday. The Cards were 31st in the poll last week, earning votes from five guys.

That should change Monday, especially after Louisville routed (89-61) North Florida, a squad expected to win the Atlantic Sun Conference, as well as a team that beat Illinois this season and Purdue last season.

Matthew Driscoll, the UNF coach, made his case for the Cards after the game:

“I’m a Top 25 voter, and I’ve been voting them since the beginning. Anybody who doesn’t think they’re a Top 25 team, I’ve been coaching for 28 years, and I’ve coached in the Big 12, ACC, all that good stuff, these jokers are back to the Louisville team that you guys always remember.

“They might’ve been more skilled last year with (Terry) Rozier and (Wayne) Blackshear and (Montrezl) Harrell, but this team has got no identity with names, and every identity with Rick (Pitino).”

3. CAN INDIANA PICK SIX?

Louisville won’t be the only team trying to make certain their primary rival does not become bowl eligible. Ruining Indiana’s season is the final objective for Purdue, too.

I’m old enough to remember watching the Hoosiers win the Big Ten and play Southern Cal in the 1968 Rose Bowl. (They performed well in a 14-3 loss).

But I’m not old enough to remember the last time Indiana won three straight games over the Boilermakers. It has not happened since the Hoosiers won four in a row from 1944-to-1947.

Indiana should have been bowl eligible last week by beating Maryland, but the Hoosiers gave one away against Rutgers and lost to Ohio State and Michigan in the final minute. Now they have to beat Purdue three straight for the first time since 1946 in West Lafayette Saturday.

Can they do it by retaining the Old Oaken Bucket?

Sure. Indiana could win by a couple touchdowns. They would also lose by a couple touchdowns. Can’t remember a streakier team.

For the record, IU opened as a five-point favorite, but the number has grown to seven, which seems silly considering the questionable status of halfback Jordan Howard.

Make it Purdue 30, Indiana 27.

4. THE WKU FEAR OF WINNING CYCLE

There was Gene Keady. And Clem Haskins. And Dennis Felton. And Darrin Horn. That is the basketball list.

In football, there was Willie Taggart followed by Bobby Petrino.

I’m talking about coaches who celebrated success at Western Kentucky – and then rode that success directly out of town.

Will Jeff Brohm be next?

The Hilltoppers are on the brink of a remarkable season. A homefield victory Friday against Marshall would bump WKU to 10-2 and leave the Hilltoppers hosting the Conference USA title game. That would be win number 11. They could stretch it to a dozen with a bowl victory.

Speaking of a dozen, there are already a dozen openings in other FBS jobs. No wonder WKU fans are nervous about Brohm’s future.

Here is some soothing news for nervous WKU fans: Brohm is a bright, loyal guy. I don’t believe that he’ll leave simply to leave, especially for a job that has been a graveyard for other coaches (Illinois, Iowa State). He twice turned down an offer to become Nick Saban’s offensive coordinator at Alabama to remain at Louisville.

FoxSports.com national college football writer Bruce Feldman included Brohm on his list of 51 intriguing names on the college coaching carousel. But he ranked Brohm 50th – and mentioned him as a possibility at Illinois, Missouri, Maryland and Iowa State.

Missouri or Maryland, perhaps.

Illinois and Iowa State? He can do better.

5. POOR PHIL STEELE

I love Phil Steele’s college football yearbooks. I buy one every summer. I tout them every fall. I love Phil Steele’s college football yearbooks.

But it has not been a good season for Phil Steele.

If the season ended today, three of Steele’s top four pre-season teams would NOT make the college football playoff -- #1 Ohio State, #2 TCU and #3 USC.

His fourth-ranked team, Alabama, would get in, but Steele ranked the other likely playoff teams ninth (Michigan State), 12th (Notre Dame) and 17th (Clemson).

His Most Improved Team is looking for a new coach because Al Golden did not create enough improvement at Miami.

His second Most Surprising Team has lost three straight and Les Miles could be out at Louisiana State.

It has not been a good season for Phil Steele.

6. ONE PLACE THE BIG TEN STILL RULES

SEC-this. SEC-that. SEC, SEC, SEC.

Even after a weekend where Citadel beat South Carolina, Georgia needed overtime to beat Georgia Southern and SEC East champ Florida had to huff and puff to outlast Florida Atlanta, the narrative of SEC dominance never seems to disappear.

Here is one place where the SEC is not first: TV ratings.

According to this story at MLive.com, the Most-Watched game in college football this season was the one played between Michigan State and Ohio State Saturday. In fact, Michigan State has played in three of the six most-watched games this season.

If this keeps up, the SEC will have to add a second full week to its pre-season media days to keep the national media guys carrying SEC water.

7. DID NBA TEAMS GET IT RIGHT?

We’re less than a month into the NBA season, but it’s always fun to look back at the Draft and fuss about which teams got it right – and which teams got it wrong.

Why delay?

Five rookies are averaging double figures – and four were drafted in the top five picks.

That would be former Kentucky star Karl-Anthony Towns, the second-leading rookie scorer at 16 game. Philadelphia was thrilled to get Duke center Jahlil Okafor with the third pick. The thrill is not gone. Okafor is averaging nearly 18 per game.

Former Central star D’Angelo Russell went second to the Lakers. He’s the fifth-leading rookie scorer at 10.2. Folks howled at the Knicks for taking Latvian Kristaps Porzinga with the fourth pick. They’re howling with joy today. He’s averaging 13.2.

The fourth-leading rookie scorer was the seventh overall pick Emmanuel Mudiay of Denver at 12.5 per game.

The biggest surprise?

Arizona point guard T.J. McConnell was not drafted. Philadelphia needs players. McConnell is getting nearly 29 minutes per game and averaging 7.7 points.

The biggest disappearance?

Look for Frank Kaminsky nestled at the end of the Charlotte bench. Kaminsky is getting less than 14 minutes per game and averaging 4.3 points. Not what Michael Jordan was expecting when he drafted Big Frank ninth out of Wisconsin.

8. KARL-ANTHONY TOWNS 1, TYUS JONES 0

Tyus Jones won a national championship at Duke last season, the national title that Towns thought he would celebrate at Kentucky.

But these days Jones isn’t saying much about 2015.

For that you can credit Kentucky’s dazzling 11-point win over the Blue Devils last week in the Champions Classic. Towns and Jones are rookie teammates with the Minnesota Timberwolves. They placed a friendly wager on the game.

The loser had to wear a jersey touting the winning team. Jones was indeed dressed in Kentucky gear last week. Towns snapped a picture and placed it on his Twitter account.

9. ALL EYES ON CARDS’ COREY RAY

Dan McDonnell has developed solid position players during his run at the University of Louisville, but nobody that checked the hit, hit with power, run, field and throw boxes like outfielder Corey Ray.

That’s why Jim Callis of MLB.com is on record saying that Ray, a junior, could be the first position player selected in the 2016 MLB Free-Agent Draft. A second-team all-American last season, Ray delivered again for the USA Baseball Collegiate National team last summer.

He was second on the squad in hitting (.355), stole 10 bases in 11 attempts and had seven doubles in 16 starts.

Sounds like a first-round draft pick to me.

10.  POLL RESULTS

Pick the best local college football team this season:

Louisville 65 percent.

Western Kentucky 35 percent.

Copyright 2015 WDRB News. All Rights Reserved.

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