BOZICH | What does Las Vegas say about 2016 Louisville football team?
The guys in Las Vegas aren't interested in tailgating. They're interested in making money. What do they say about the 2016 University of Louisville football team?
LOUISVILLE, Ky. (WDRB) – The pre-season polls have been filed. The pre-season magazines have been analyzed. There is a relentlessly upbeat vibe around the University of Louisville football team.
With eight days until the Cardinals open their 2016 season against Charlotte in Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium, there are not many questions left to ask about Bobby Petrino’s team.
I uncovered one:
What does Las Vegas say about Louisville?
I had to ask.
The guys in Vegas do not care about the alma mater, tailgating or keeping the home fans happy. They care about making money.
Brian Edwards, of BrianEdwardsSports.com, a senior handicapper at VegasInsider, is one of my Go-To guys in Vegas. I asked for his thoughts on the Cards.
Here is his response, along with several other nuggets that I found.
1. Edwards reported that the odds on Louisville to win the ACC are 7-to-1 at The Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas.
The only ACC teams with better numbers are the twin favorites in the Atlantic Division -- Clemson 3-to-2 or +150 (risk $100 to win $150) & FSU 5-to-4 or +180 (risk $100 to win $180).
2. If you believe the Cards will win the national playoff, get your money down as soon as possible. Edwards said the number at the Westgate is 60-to-1 odds on Louisville.
3. Edwards said the season win total for U of L at the Westgate is 8.5 ('over' -160, meaning risk $160 to win $100, 'under' +140 meaning risk $100 to win $140).
If you’re convinced Louisville will win at least 10 games, you have no reason to wait? If you’re thinking 9-3, better take another look at the schedule.
If you’re bullish on Louisville, this is your opportunity.
4. More from Edwards: The offshore book 5Dimes has U of L's win total at 9 (-115 either way).
(Important reminder: For those win totals, it's regular-season games only -- conference title games & bowl games don't apply to those wagers. In other words, last season, Louisville was a 7-win team.)
5. Another Edwards’ nugget: 5Dimes has point spreads for six Louisville games:
Louisville is......-12.5 at Syracuse, +3.5 vs. FSU, +10 at Clemson, -17.5 vs. Duke, +1 at Houston & -18 vs. Kentucky.
In other words, the Cardinals are currently underdogs for three games – Florida State, Clemson and Houston.
No line yet on Boston College, which in an intriguing challenge for the Cards.
6. Finally, you need a Heisman Trophy snapshot: Edwards has one of those, too. He said that 5Dimes has quarterback Lamar Jackson with 100-to-1 odds to win The Heisman.
As Eric Crawford and I discussed on SportsPageLive Wednesday, Jackson will start the season as a Heisman longshot. Deshaun Watson of Clemson and Leonard Fournette of Louisiana State are the guys to beat.
But if Jackson plays great against Florida State and Clemson, two of Louisville’s first five games, his picture will start popping up on ESPN.com, FoxSports.com, Yahoo.com and the other important web sites.
7. ESPN’s FPI index projects Louisville as the underdog in only two games – Clemson and Florida State. But here’s the strange twist: It projects the Cards finishing with 8.7 wins. In other words, U of L will lose one of these three games – Houston, Boston College or Syracuse.
8. The Massey Ratings page not only includes the Massey Ratings, it also includes the numbers from 36 other sites with college football rankings.
Louisville’s consensus ranking is 29, one spot ahead of Florida, one behind Auburn.
The Cards’ highest rating – 12 from Solecismic. Their worst? That would be 51 from Kellner.
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