Additional Showers and Storms for Weekend
What a day! So many severe storms. Even one confirmed, "at least" EF-1 tornado in Harrison County just SW of New Middletown. More information from the NWS survey team will become available later today about the size and track. Plus more surveys are planned as well.
Storms continued until late last night/early this morning and we have been quiet since. However, there are more showers and storms on the table for the rest of the weekend. A cold front moved through the area late yesterday. We had such strong storms yesterday because this whole system is not typical for mid-July. It had unusually strong winds aloft, tons of fuel, & strong forcing. In short - it was a perfect recipe for severe weather development. The front is just to our south, but the slow moving closed low pressure still has to drop south. It will do so over the next two days, keeping the showers and storms in our forecast.
The good news? The severe threat is much lower than yesterday. Remember the severe weather risk from SPC yesterday? It was a moderate risk, or a level 4 out of 5. Today, we only have a general thunderstorm potential. While a stronger storm or two is possible, it will be nothing like yesterday.
The front knocked down our temps and our dew points, so there is not as much fuel or instability to work with. However, there IS enough to produce thunderstorms that could be heavy rain makers & have plenty of lightning with some gusty winds. Expect more cloud cover today (which is also limiting the severe potential) and the clouds will keep our temperatures lower. Highs will be in the low 80s today. Tomorrow we may not even get into the 80s!
The best chance for showers and storms, both today and tomorrow, will be in the afternoon and evening during the heat of day. These showers and storms will be hit or miss, so there will be some dry time too.
Notice how later today the coverage is slightly higher than earlier this afternoon.
By tonight, most of the storms will taper off. Any showers and storms that remain will be mainly east, in the Bluegrass area.
Tomorrow has a slightly better chance for showers and storms as the low will be stacked over Kentuckiana. Therefore, you have a better chance to see wet weather. A lot of the data suggests the showers and storms will start earlier in the day as well.
Therefore, coverage will be greater earlier and throughout the entire day as the low approaches and moves over our viewing area. The same threats/impacts as today will be in play tomorrow: heavy rain, lightning, and some gusty winds.
It will be breezy today and tomorrow even when it is not raining, as you can tell by the streamlines associated with the low pressure. Again, it is unusually strong for this time of the year. It will continue to dive south by Sunday evening.
To find out when we begin to dry up (if we do) and when we warm up from those UPPER SEVENTIES be sure to join Hannah this evening on WDRB News. I will also have the latest on WDRB in the Morning from 6-9 am!
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