Week 13 | Looking back at preseason picks for UofL, UK, IU, WKU football | Sports

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (WDRB) -- This is the final regular season reset of the local college football season.

Only Jeff Brohm and the University of Louisville will play next week, booked for the Atlantic Coast Conference title game Dec. 2 against Florida State in Charlotte, North Carolina.

That makes this farewell reset the perfect moment to turn the clock back to August for a reminder of what Tom Lane, Eric Crawford and I predicted for U of L, Kentucky, Indiana and Western Kentucky this season. Plus, the preseason picks from ESPN’s Football Power Index, Jeff Sagari's predictor computer power formula and the Vegas over/under win total.

Louisville

ESPN FPI: 7-5
Sagarin Predictor: 8-4
Vegas Over/under: 8 wins
Lane: 8-4
Crawford: 8-4
Bozich: 8-4

Kentucky

ESPN FPI: 7-5
Sagarin Predictor 6-6
Vegas Over/under: 7
Lane: 8-4
Crawford: 8-4
Bozich: 7-5

Indiana

ESPN FPI: 4-8
Sagarin Predictor: 2-10
Vegas Over/under: 3.5
Lane: 4-8
Crawford: 4-8
Bozich: 3-9

WKU

ESPN FPI: 8-4
Sagarin Predictor: 10-2
Vegas Over/under: 8.5
Lane: 8-4
Crawford: 10-2
Bozich: 10-2

On with the reset:

Louisville (10-1)

Last Week: Won at Miami, 38-31
This Week: Kentucky, Saturday, Noon, L&N Cardinal Stadium
Top-three Graded Performers by Pro Football Focus (minimum 200 snaps)
- Offense:
  - Halfback Jawhar Jordan 87.4
  - Halfback Isaac Guerendo 86.6
  - Receiver Jamari Thrash 77.5
- Defense:
  - Edge Ashton Gillotte 86.5
  - Cornerback Quincy Riley 82.2
  - Cornerback Jarvis Brownlee Jr. 77.9
Total Offense Rating NCAA:
- No. 21 in the nation, No. 3 in the ACC at 441.8 yards per game
Total Defense Rating NCAA:
- No. 21 in the nation, No. 2 in the ACC at 317.0 ypg
Yardage Differential: 124.8 ypg
Top Individual NCAA stat:
- Gillotte tied for No. 8 with 10 sacks
Week 13 Ratings:
- PFF No. 16, up two spots from last week.
- ESPN Power Index No. 20, up three spots from last week
- Jeff Sagarin Predictor No. 19, up two spots from last week
- Combined record of FBS opponents played: 54-56
Strength of Schedule (Sagarin): No. 64
Best Win (Sagarin): No. 11 Notre Dame
Worst Loss (Sagarin): No. 79 Pittsburgh
ESPN FPI Projected win total: 11
Dr. Bo preseason projected win total: 8
Dr. Bo revised projected win total: 11

Kentucky (6-5)

Last Week: Lost at South Carolina, 17-14
This Week: at Louisville, Noon, Saturday
Top-three Graded Performers by Pro Football Focus (minimum 200 snaps):
- Offense:
  - Halfback Ray Davis 88.1
  - Receiver Tayvion Robinson 74.9
  - Quarterback Devin Leary 72.2
- Defense:
  - Cornerback Maxwell Hairston 83.2
  - Tackle Deone Walker 80.8
  - Linebacker D’Eryk Jackson 76.3
Total Offense Rating NCAA:
- No. 100 in the nation, No. 11 in the Southeastern Conference at 338.7 ypg
- Total Defense Rating NCAA:
No. 41 nationally, No. 4 in the SEC at 347.8 ypg
Yardage Differential: -9.1
Top Individual NCAA stat:
- Davis No. 29 nationally in rushing, 90 ypg
Week 13 Ratings:
- PFF No. 34, down three spots from last week
- ESPN Power Index No. 41, down one spot from last week
- Jeff Sagarin Predictor No. 48, down four spots from last week
- Combined record FBS opponents: 60-50
Strength of Schedule (Sagarin): No. 51
Best Win: No. 43 Florida
Worst Loss: No. 41 South Carolina
ESPN FPI Projected win total: 6
Dr. Bo preseason projected win total: 7
Dr. Bo revised projected win total: 6

Indiana (3-8)

Last Week: Lost to Michigan State, 24-21
This Week: At Purdue, Saturday Noon
Top-three Graded Performers by Pro Football Focus (minimum 200 snaps)
- Offense:
  - Receiver Donavan McCulley 74.1
  - Receiver Cam Camper 70.8
  - Quarterback Brendan Sorsby 70.3
- Defense:
  - Safety Louis Moore 75.0
  - Cornerback Kobee Minor 73.6
  - End Andre Carter 73.4
Total Offense Rating NCAA:
- No. 104 nationally, No. 8 in the Big Ten at 331.4 ypg.
Total Defense Rating NCAA:
- No. 85 nationally, No. 14 in the Big Ten at 387.8 ypg
Yardage Differential: -56.4 ypg
Top Individual NCAA stat:
- Linebacker Aaron Casey No. 10 in the nation with 16 tackles for loss.
Week 13 Ratings:
- PFF No. 110, up three spots from last week
- ESPN Power Index No. 80, down two spots from last week
- Jeff Sagarin Predictor No. 86, same as last week
- Combined record of all FBS opponents: 70-40
Strength of Schedule (Sagarin): No. 12
Best Win (Sagarin): No. 40 Wisconsin
Worst Loss (Sagarin): No. 73 Michigan State
ESPN FPI Projected win total: 3.4
Dr. Bo preseason projected win total: 3
Dr. Bo revised projected win total: 3

Western Kentucky (6-5)

Last Week: Beat Sam Houston 28-23
This Week: At Florida International, 3 p.m. Saturday.
Top-three Graded Performers by Pro Football Focus (minimum 200 snaps):
- Offense:
  - Receiver Malachi Corley 80.9
  - Quarterback Austin Reed 70.6
  - Guard Quantavious Leslie 70.0
- Defense:
  - Cornerback Anthony Johnson Jr. 84.6
  - Cornerback Upton Stout 77.4
  - Linebacker Desmyn Baker 76.3
Total Offense Rating NCAA:
- No. 61 nationally, No. 5 in Conference USA at 395.0 ypg
Total Defense Rating NCAA:
- No. 122 nationally, No. 9 in CUSA at 439.6 ypg
Yardage Differential: -44.6.
Top Individual NCAA stat:
- Corley No. 15 in receiving yards per game at 90.6
Week 13 Ratings:
- PFF No. 124, up one from last week
- ESPN Power Index No. 88, down one from last week
- Jeff Sagarin Predictor No. 89, down one from last week
- Combined record all FBS opponents: 65-47
Strength of Schedule (Sagarin): No. 121
Best Win (Sagarin): No. 117 Middle Tennessee
Worst Loss (Sagarin): No. 94 Jacksonville State
ESPN FPI Projected win total: 6.8
Dr. Bo preseason projected win total: 10
Dr. Bo revised projected win total: 8