LOUISVILLE, Ky. (WDRB)Ā ā With the final major prep races complete, the National Thoroughbred Racing Associationās weekly Top 3-Year-Old poll is beginning to look a lot like an early Kentucky Derby forecast.
Arkansas Derby winnerĀ RenegadeĀ remains on top of the NTRAās latest poll, released Monday, but the race for No. 1 is tightening as the calendar turns toward the first Saturday in May.
LouisvilleĀ |Ā KentuckyĀ |Ā IndianaĀ |Ā Eric Crawford
The Todd Pletcher-trained colt, who also won the Sam F. Davis Stakes earlier this year, receivedĀ 14 first-place votesĀ andĀ 284 pointsĀ in balloting of the national horse racing media. Thatās just ahead offĀ Commandment, the Florida Derby winner, who picked upĀ nine first-place votesĀ andĀ 276 points.
The gap is hardly comfortable.
Further Ado, who delivered an emphaticĀ 11-length victory in the Blue Grass Stakes, vaulted from No. 13 to No. 3 in the poll withĀ eight first-place votesĀ andĀ 258 points, giving voters three clear favorites at the top entering the final month before the Kentucky Derby.
The Top 3-Year-Old poll conducted by the National Thoroughbred Racing Association in a vote of national media.
Renegade, a son of Into Mischief, is unbeaten in two starts this year and races for co-owners Robert and Lawana Lowand Repole Stable. Commandment, also a son of Into Mischief, is trained by Brad Cox for Wathnan Racing and has put together one of the strongest résumés of any Derby hopeful, with wins this year in the Florida Derby, Fountain of Youth and Mucho Macho Man Stakes.
Further Ado, also trained by Cox, made the biggest move near the top after his dominant Blue Grass win. The Spendthrift Farm-owned colt had opened his season with a loss toĀ The PumaĀ in the Tampa Bay Derby, but his performance at Keeneland pushed him firmly into the Derby conversation.
The PumaĀ checked in at No. 4, whileĀ So HappyĀ jumped from No. 22 to No. 5 after winning theĀ Santa Anita DerbyĀ for trainerĀ Mark Glatt.
Rounding out the top 10 wereĀ Emerging MarketĀ at No. 6,Ā Silent TacticĀ at No. 7,Ā Chief WallabeeĀ at No. 8,Ā PotenteĀ at No. 9 andĀ FulleffortĀ at No. 10.
The complete top 10 is below. All of the colts appear headed for the same next stop: theĀ Kentucky Derby on May 2 at Churchill Downs.
Copyright 2026 WDRB Media. All Rights Reserved.